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– In Pivotal Senate Race, Republican Takes Significant Lead Over Incumbent Democrat:
Democrats hoping to maintain control of the United States Senate in 2025 have been jolted by a new poll that shows Montana’s incumbent Democratic senator trailing his Republican challenger by 8 points with under two months to go until Election Day.
The AARP poll found 49% of Montana voters back Republican Tim Sheehy and 41% support incumbent Jon Tester, while the Libertarian candidate takes 4% and the Green Party, 1%. Sheehy appears to be the beneficiary of Donald Trump’s popularity in the state: The former president has a commanding 56% to 41% lead. He won the state by 16 points in 2020 and 21 in 2016.
The Democrats are defending 23 Senate seats in 2024, compared to just 11 for the Republicans. The GOP needs to flip only two seats to wrest control of the upper chamber back from the Democrats. They seemingly have one firmly in their pocket already, as 73-year-old West Virginia Democrat-turned-Republican Governor Jim Justice has a 34-point lead in the race for the seat of retiring Democrat-turned-independent Sen. Joe Manchin.
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