WTI Crude Crashes To $60 Handle As Saudis Shun Cuts

WTI Crude Crashes To $60 Handle As Saudis Shun Cuts (ZeroHedge, Dec 10, 2014):

Brent Crude crossed below $65 for the first time since 2009 this morning and WTI began to slide as inventories showed a bigger-than-expected build. But it was Saudi Arabia’s oil minister al-Naimi who sparked the latest dump:

*NAIMI SAYS `WHY SHOULD I CUT PRODUCTION’?

And with that WTI plunged to a $60 handle on heavy volume…

Anyone That Believes That Collapsing Oil Prices Are Good For The Economy Is Crazy

Oil

Anyone That Believes That Collapsing Oil Prices Are Good For The Economy Is Crazy (Economic Collapse, Dec 8, 2014):

Are much lower oil prices good news for the U.S. economy?  Only if you like collapsing capital expenditures, rising unemployment and a potential financial implosion on Wall Street.  Yes, lower gasoline prices are good news for the middle class.  I certainly would rather pay two dollars for a gallon of gas than four dollars.  But in order to have money to fill up your vehicle you have got to have an income first.  And since the last recession, the energy sector has been the number one creator of good jobs in the U.S. economy by far.  Barack Obama loves to stand up and take credit for the fact that the employment picture in this country has been improving slightly, but without the energy industry boom, unemployment would be through the roof.  And now that the “energy boom” is rapidly becoming an “energy bust”, what will happen to the struggling U.S. economy as we head into 2015?

Read moreAnyone That Believes That Collapsing Oil Prices Are Good For The Economy Is Crazy

Betting On The ‘Other’ Oil Black Swan

Betting On The ‘Other’ Oil Black Swan (ZeroHedge, Dec 8, 2014):

With oil prices plunging to 5-year lows, perhaps it is time to consider the cheapness of betting on the other oil black swan…

Via BofA’s Jake Greenberg,

In my base case, I remain structurally bearish oil.  The world is making huge productivity and efficiency gains (lighter vehicles, new technology, etc.), and we are starting to see real substitution (e.g. to LNG and CNG).  On the supply side, oil is not resource constrained (i.e. at the right price, you get more shale coming to market + Libya + KRG + North Sea’s Buzzard + Arctic, etc) and OPEC is a dysfunctional oligopoly.  Francisco Blanch thinks we could see Brent drop below $60/bbl in the next six months.

Interestingly, lower oil prices may not incentive increased demand as both China and India are taking advantage of the drop to raise taxes on fuel consumption.  Lower crude prices are not being passed on to the end consumers in the markets that matter most for demand growth.  See the WSJ here: India raises taxes on fuels.    And the Australian here: China lifts fuel tax

Oil’s black swan…

That said, if oil prices go “too low”, there are some very powerful State actors who could become incentivized to precipitate a geopolitical crisis in order to get oil prices back up. E.g. a Saudi Arabian spring, or an attack on a major pipeline?  The ISIS-sponsored attack in November in Saudi Arabia’s oil-rich Al Ahsa region did not get a lot of air time, but this is definitely an article worth reading…again from the WSJ: ISIS urging attacks on Saudi   

Read moreBetting On The ‘Other’ Oil Black Swan

Global News Update: Dec 03, 2014

Alarm bells toll for human civilization as world’s 12th largest mega-city to run out of water in just 60 days (Natural News):

The city of Sao Paulo is home to 20 million Brazilians, making it the 12th largest mega-city on a planet dominated by shortsighted humans. Shockingly, it has only 60 days of water supply remaining. The city “has about two months of guaranteed water supply remaining as it taps into the second of three emergency reserves,” reports Reuters. [1]

Technical reserves have already been released, and as the city enters the heavy water use holiday season, its 20 million residents are riding on a fast-track collision course with severe water rationing and devastating disruptions.

nuclear-plant-accident-ukraine

Accident at largest nuclear power plant in Europe revealed by Ukraine PM (RT):

There has been an accident at a nuclear plant in the southeast of Ukraine, Prime Minister Arseny Yatsenyuk has revealed during the first session of his new Cabinet.

A minor accident occurred at Zaporozhskaya nuclear plant, the largest in Europe, last Friday, according to the facility’s website. A reactor was switched off and put to maintenance as a result.

CNN: Urgent – Emergency repairs reported at largest nuclear power plant in Europe — Prime Minister: I know that a nuclear accident has occurred (VIDEO) (ENENews)

CNN, Dec 3, 2014: URGENT – Ukraine Nuclear Plant Repairs — Emergency repairs began earlier this week… Details about what caused the problem, which the ministry first reported Tuesday, weren’t immediately available.

NYPD

Ferguson 2.0? Grand Jury Fails To Indict White NYPD Cop In Fatal-Chokehold Case; Press Conference – Live Feed (ZeroHedge):

UPDATE: Charlie Rangel opines “This is not a black problem, this is a problem we have in our great country.”

Protests planned: 430, Grand Central; 7:00 Rockefeller Christmas Tree

A Staten Island grand jury has decided not to indict white NYPD officer Daniel Panateleo, according to NY1, who allegedly used a banned chokehold and killed Eric Garner, a 400lb black man, who was stopped on suspicion of selling loose cigarettes. Police in New York are preparing for potential protests, There are at least two different demonstrations planned in lower Manhattan Wednesday.

norway-f16-mig31-interception

Flight fright: Russian MiG-31 jet pulls midair maneuver on Norwegian F-16 (VIDEO) (RT):

Two top guns came into very close contact when a Russian MiG-31 aircraft overtook a Norwegian F-16 fighter and cut practically in front of it, forcing the NATO pilot to veer away sharply.

The Russian jet passed the F-16 within a mere 20 meters, causing the Norwegian pilot to exclaim, “What the hell!” before darting away hastily.

bodycam

This Is The Body Camera That All NYPD Officers Will Soon Wear (ZeroHedge):

As part of the final solution to inner city social unrest across America, President Obama has put forward recommendations that all police offers wear body cameras… this is what the ‘eyes-are-always-on-you’ NYPD police camera will look like. What ever happened to Google Glass privacy concerns?

Pentagon says Iran bombs ISIS in Iraq, Tehran ‘cannot confirm’ (RT):

Iran has launched airstrikes against Islamic State militants in eastern Iraq in recent days, the Pentagon confirms. According to spokesperson Rear Adm. John Kirby, the strikes were not co-ordinated with the US military and may be the first of their kind.

“We have indications that they did indeed fly airstrikes with F-4 Phantoms in the past several days,” Kirby told AFP.

It may be the first time Tehran has launched manned aircraft from inside Iran to strike Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) targets in Iraq, Kirby told AP.

US Army Sends 100 Tanks To Eastern Europe To “Deter Russian Aggression” (ZeroHedge):

The ink on Barack Obama’s Chuck Hagel termination letter hasn’t dried yet but already the US president’s new, and seemingly far more hawkish advisors, are having their warmongering presence felt. Case in point: the Eastern European theater of (Cold) war, where Military.com reports that the new Army commander in Europe plans to bolster the U.S. armored presence in Poland and the Baltic states and keep rotations of U.S. troops there through next year and possibly beyond to counter Russia. Lt. Gen. Frederick “Ben” Hodges, who replaced Lt. Gen. Donald M. Campbell  earlier this month as commander of U.S. Army Europe, said the Army was looking to add about 100 Abrams tanks and Bradley Fighting Vehicles to the forces in Eastern Europe.

fracking-ban-birthplace-texas

Fracking ban goes into effect in its birthplace (RT):

An unprecedented ban on fracking went into effect Tuesday in Denton, Texas, a town of 123,000 located on top of the natural-gas goldmine that is the Barnett shale formation, the birthplace of the much-maligned oil and gas extraction method.

Denton voters approved the ban last month, making it the first city or county to do so in the energy-rich, fracking-heavy state of Texas.

Shortly after the Nov. 4 vote, the Texas Oil & Gas Association, an energy industry group, and the Texas General Land Office filed a lawsuit seeking to reverse the ban.

don corleone

$178 Billion In Government Kickbacks: Meet The World’s Biggest Organized Crime Syndicate (ZeroHedge):

Once upon a time it was the Sicilian, or Russian, or Japanese, or Chinese mob that were some of the biggest sources of funding for corrupt government officials (incidentally, most of them). After all, the government is smart enough to realize that it is more lucrative to “cooperate” with the world’s biggest criminal syndicates than to wipe them out and cut off a major source of funding (of course, when it comes to populist optics and reelection, there is always an easy low-level perp walk every week or so to keep the peasants in place… and Diebold).

?Anonymous take down Ft. Lauderdale’s site for anti-homeless laws (RT):

The hacktivist group Anonymous is no fan of Fort Lauderdale’s new laws targeting the Florida city’s homeless population, and they took down multiple city websites to prove it.

Another Government Scam

Another Government Scam – Small Business Administration (SBA) is Exposed as Corporate Welfare to Big Businesses (Liberty Blitzkrieg):

Many people have noted that the more insidious or corrupt a law or agency, the more positive sounding its name. The most egregious example during my lifetime, was naming legislation that stripped Americans of most of their civil liberties the “Patriot” Act.

In a similar vein, which red-blooded American could ever be opposed to something called the Small Business Administration (SBA). We all love small businesses and the entrepreneurial spirit, and even those who abhor big government have a hard time siding against an agency that supports the little guy. As such, the SBA is the perfect vehicle for cronyism, corruption and corporate welfare, which indeed appears to be its primary reason for existence.

My friends at Open the Books have published a key study on the SBA, and the results are ugly. The full report can be found here, but what follows is some analysis of the report by Stephen Moore at Investors Business Daily:

Chicago – Coldest Year in 110 Years (Ice Age Now):

Not just the day, not just the week, not just the month, we’re talking the entire year.

Iraqi army ‘had 50,000 ghost troops’ on payroll (BBC):

An investigation into corruption in the Iraqi army has revealed that there were 50,000 false names on its payroll.

Known in the military as “ghost soldiers”, they either did not exist or no longer reported for duty, however their salaries were still paid

UN: Israeli trade control causes $310 MILLION loss for Palestinian Authority (Al Akhbar):

The Palestinian Authority lost at least $310 million in customs and sales tax in 2011 as a result of importing from or through Israeli-occupied territories, the UN said Wednesday, urging a radical change to the system.

The lost revenue, worth 250 million euros, was equivalent to 3.6 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) and 18 percent of the tax revenue of the authority, the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) said.

100,000 Czech travelers stranded due to freezing arctic weather (Ice Age Now):

People forced to spend the night in cold trains and railway stations when temperatures dropped to minus 7.3 C (19.4 F).

Obama-Putin1

Made in the USA – How the Ukrainian Government is Giving Away Citizenships so Foreigners Can Run the Country (Liberty Blitzkrieg):

Claims that the new government in Ukraine is nothing more than a Western puppet Parliament have been swirling around consistently since February. Nevertheless, I think it’s very significant that the takeover is now overt, undeniable and completely out in the open. Nothing proves this fact more clearly than the recent and sudden granting of citizenship to three foreigners so that they can take top posts in the government.

Forget Stocks, This is the REAL Crisis That’s Coming (ZeroHedge):

The 2008 crash was a warm up.

Many investors think that we could never have a crash again. The 2008 melt-down was a one in 100 years episode, they think.

They are wrong.

The 2008 Crisis was a stock and investment bank crisis. But it was not THE Crisis.

THE Crisis concerns the biggest bubble in financial history: the epic Bond bubble… which as it stands is north of $100 trillion… although if you include the derivatives that trade based on bonds it’s more like $500 TRILLION.

The Fed likes to act as though it’s concerned about stocks… but the real story is in bonds. Indeed, when you look at the Fed’s actions from the perspective of the bond market, everything suddenly becomes clear.

Budapest – Freezing rain leaves 40,000 homes powerless (Ice Age Now)

Central Bank Buying Of S&P 500 Futures Extended Until End Of 2015 (ZeroHedge): 

We have some bad news. According to a modification of the Central Bank Incentive Program, central bank rigging of, well, everything and certainly the E-mini S&P future, will go on for a much longer time, with the revised deadline now going through December 31, 2015. 

Romania – More than 1,000 people stuck in snow (Ice Age Now)

Panic-Button

Plummeting Oil Prices Could Destroy The Banks That Are Holding Trillions In Commodity Derivatives (Economic Collapse):

Could rapidly falling oil prices trigger a nightmare scenario for the commodity derivatives market?  The big Wall Street banks did not expect plunging home prices to cause a mortgage-backed securities implosion back in 2008, and their models did not anticipate a decline in the price of oil by more than 40 dollars in less than six months this time either.  If the price of oil stays at this level or goes down even more, someone out there is going to have to absorb some absolutely massive losses.  In some cases, the losses will be absorbed by oil producers, but many of the big players in the industry have already locked in high prices for their oil next year through derivatives contracts.  The companies enter into these derivatives contracts for a couple of reasons.  Number one, many lenders do not want to give them any money unless they can show that they have locked in a price for their oil that is higher than the cost of production.  Secondly, derivatives contracts protect the profits of oil producers from dramatic swings in the marketplace.  These dramatic swings rarely happen, but when they do they can be absolutely crippling.  So the oil companies that have locked in high prices for their oil in 2015 and 2016 are feeling pretty good right about now.  But who is on the other end of those contracts?  In many cases, it is the big Wall Street banks, and if the price of oil does not rebound substantially they could be facing absolutely colossal losses.

It has been estimated that the six largest “too big to fail” banks control $3.9 trillion in commodity derivatives contracts.  And a very large chunk of that amount is made up of oil derivatives.

Austria – Rare ice storm hits Waldviertel (Ice Age Now):

Some trees 3 ft (1 m) in diameter – Few in the fire service could recall so many ice-damaged trees. Trees breaking like matchsticks.

H/t reader squodgy:

“Jeeeeeeeeeeezuss!”

H/t reader squodgy:

“WOW!!!….of course….the last resort measure to trigger the war they so desperately need to smokescreen their escape from blame for this entire BANK CREATED MESS.”

Falling Oil Prices Could Cripple ‘Vulnerable’ Russia, Trigger World War III (The Daily Sheeple):

The Cold War 2.0 is going hot, and while it may someday be fought with planes, tanks, guns and bombs, the first front is being fought with oil and shale gas.

The U.S. and European sanctions against Russia will become more severe and crippling in the face of drastically falling oil prices – prices which are falling drastically because of the unprecedented boom of shale gas fracking both domestically in the U.S. and abroad in Ukraine and other locales. The oil & gas giants like Chevron and Exxon Mobil have created revolutionary conditions with now direct consequences on U.S. foreign policy and global war for dominance. Via Bloomberg:

There will be blood

New US Oil Well Permits Collapse 40% In November, Fed Still “Not Worried”? (ZeroHedge):

Houston, we have a problem-er. With a third of S&P 500 capital expenditure due from the imploding energy sector (and with over 20% of the high-yield market dominated by these names), paying attention to any inflection point in the US oil-producers is critical as they have been gung-ho “unequivocally good” expanders even as oil prices began to fall. So, when Reuters reports a drop of almost 40 percent in new well permits issued across the United States in November, even The Fed’s Stan Fischer might start to question his lower oil prices are “a phenomenon that’s making everybody better off,” may warrant a rethink. New permits, which indicate what drilling rigs will be doing 60-90 days in the future, showed steep declines for the first time this year across the top three U.S. onshore fields: the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford in Texas and North Dakota’s Bakken shale.

Christmas-Gifts

How Did Christmas Become A Festival Of Greed? (Economic Collapse):

For most people, Christmas is all about the presents. But how did such a supposedly sacred holiday become a festival of greed? Not many people know the history behind Christmas gift giving, and it will probably shock you. This year, Americans will spend somewhere in the neighborhood of 600 billion dollars on Christmas, but most people have no coherent explanation for why they are buying all of these gifts. Those that are Christian will tell you that they are doing it to celebrate the birth of Christ, but as you will see below, gift giving on this holiday originated long before Christ was born. Others will tell you that they are just following tradition, but most of them have absolutely no idea where the tradition of Christmas gift giving originally came from. And the truth is that most people simply don’t care about the history. They are just excited about all of the stuff that they are going to get on December 25th. But if you are curious to learn how Christmas became a festival of greed, just keep reading…


London Property Bubble Primed To Burst – Consequences For UK Economy and Sterling (ZeroHedge):

The ongoing slump in oil prices looks set to take their toll on London’s “super prime” property markets with attendant consequences for the rest of the London property market. Foreign money that had been flooding into the UK from a whole array of international sources and parking in London real estate is drying up.

war-in-syria

Syria Goes Dark (Acting Man):

Syria Then and Now

“Arab Spring” situations have an inexorable tendency to go pear-shaped (Tunisia, the first country to experience one is the lone exception, but even there the “old guard” is reportedly making a comeback, so the whole thing was essentially for nothing in the end). In Egypt, the revolution went from bringing an Islamist to power whose economic policies were either useless or were sabotaged by the organization that actually owns Egypt (the army controls 40% of the economy), back to someone who suspiciously looks like the old boss, with the only difference that he’s even worse. Nothing about the situation even remotely resembles democracy at this juncture. Getting jailed and tortured in Egypt and getting sentenced to death in mass show trials is once again par for the course.

 

Global News Update: Dec 02, 2014

Politicians at work:

your politicians at work
Source: Grant Williams @TTMYGH (Click on image to enlarge.)

With Its Gold “Vaporized”, A Furious Ukraine Turns On Its Central Bankers (ZeroHedge):

As reported two weeks ago, following to a stunning announcement by the head of Ukraine’s central bank, Valeriya Gontareva, we learned that (virtually) all of Ukraine’s gold was gone, or – in the parlance of Jon Corzine – had “vaporized.” And as we also predicted two weeks ago, it was only a matter of time before Ukraine’s people – the vast majority of whom are innocent pawns in a vast game of realpolitik between the west and east – finally got angry and demanded some answers. That time came earlier today when as Interfax.ua reported “a Kyiv-based court has instructed Kyiv prosecutors to bring an action against National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) Governor Valeriya Gontareva on charges of abuse of power or misuse of office to obtain illegal profit, the Vesti newspaper reported on Tuesday.”

 …

Putin-Obama

Tensions Between the U.S. and Russia Are Worse Than You Realize – Remarks by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov (Liberty Blitzkrieg):

Many reasonable analysts understand that there is a widening gap between the global ambitions of the US Administration and the country’s real potential. The world is changing and, as has always happened in history, at some point somebody’s influence and power reach their peak and then somebody begins to develop still faster and more effectively. One should study history and proceed from realities. The seven developing economies headed by BRICS already have a bigger GDP than the Western G7. One should proceed from the facts of life, and not from a misconceived sense of one’s own grandeur.

‘Worst Case Scenario’ has happened at US nuclear site — Robert Redford film predicted 2014 WIPP disaster: Plutonium release due to chemical reaction in burst nuclear drum is ultimate catastrophe… Most significant issue is combustible waste exposed to high heat, everyone understands that (VIDEO) (ENENews):

The WIPP Trail, narrated by Robert Redford, 1989 (at 17:00 in):

  • Robert Redford: We now know that 40% of the [WIPP] hazardous waste is combustible, thus posing a more serious and immediate threat.
  • Bruce Throne, New Mexico State Attorney: I think the combustible waste is perhaps the most significant because even a layman can understand that when combustible waste is exposed to high levels of heat, there may be some effect inside the TRUPAC [containers].
  • Redford: Wind is a critical factor that must be considered. The worst case scenario would be if a fire occurs within a breach of a container. The wind could then carry plutonium particles through the atmosphere, traveling considerable distances.
  • Oxford Dictionary’s definition of fire: “Combustion or burning, in which substances combine chemically with oxygen from the air and typically give out bright light, heat, and smoke”

French parliament votes to recognize Palestinian state (RT):

France’s Socialist-led parliament has passed a symbolic vote to recognize Palestinian statehood, despite staunch objections from Israel. MPs in Britain and Spain have already passed similar motions.

The Abenomics Devastation: Japanese Real Wages Decline For Record 16 Consecutive Months (ZeroHedge):

Those seeking proof that Abenomics is working are advised to look elsewhere.

Retail-Apocalypse

The Retail Apocalypse Accelerates: Collapsing Holiday Sales Are A Signal That A Recession Is Coming (Economic Collapse):

Retail sales during the four day Thanksgiving weekend were down a whopping 11 percent from last year.  This is a “make or break” time of the year for many retailers, and if things don’t turn around during the coming weeks we could see a tsunami of store closings in January and February.  As you read this article, there is already more than a billion square feet of retail space sitting empty in the United States.  Many have described the ongoing collapse of the retail industry as an “apocalypse”, and this apocalypse appears to be accelerating.  Yes, the shift to online retailers is a significant factor, but as you will see below even online retailers struggled over the holiday weekend.  The sad truth of the matter is that U.S. consumers are tapped out and are drowning in debt at this point, so they simply do not have as much money to spend as they once did.

The coming nuclear crisis: All but one of Britain’s ageing reactors ‘will need to close in 15 years’ (Independent):

All but one of Britain’s ageing fleet of nuclear reactors will have to be closed down within 15 years due to concerns over their economic viability or safety, a panel of experts has warned.

Only Sizewell B power station will still be operating beyond 2030, which would leave a shortfall of about 20 per cent in the UK’s power demands unless replacement nuclear reactors come on-stream in the 2020s, they said.

Britain’s existing nuclear reactors apart from Sizewell B are operating beyond their original lifetime specifications, but they are still working as safely as they were designed to be, said Professor Laurence Williams, a former chief inspector of nuclear installations.

Sure!

oil-china

And The Biggest Winner From The OPEC Price War Is… (ZeroHedge):

“This is a golden time window to acquire more strategic oil at lower costs,” notes one Hong-Kong based analyst, as Bloomberg confirms what we have noted here and here, that China is emerging as the winner from OPEC’s battle with rival oil producers as the world’s biggest energy consumer stockpiles crude.

ISIS claims to have developed dirty bomb – reports (RT):

So-called Islamic State militants claim to have developed a crude nuclear weapon using materials seized from Mosul University, Iraq. A British extremist boasted of the damage the dirty bomb would do if detonated in Iraq, UK media reports.

One of the militants bragging about the device online was Hamayun Tariq, fighting under the nom de guerre of Muslim-al-Britani, the Daily Mirror reports. Britani, a Briton who claims to be a bomb expert, tweeted:

“O by the way, Islamic State does have a dirty bomb. We found some radioactive material from Mosul University.”

isis-dirty-bomb

Lebanese Army detains wife, son of ISIS leader (RT):

A wife and a son of Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi have been arrested by the Lebanese Army, Beirut security officials said. They were detained in coordination with “foreign intelligence apparatus,” reported the local press.

The woman was described by officials as one of al-Baghdadi’s wives, Safir daily newspaper reported. However, they didn’t provide any details on her nationality or name.

The woman, who was accompanied by her son, was arrested while crossing the border from Syria. According to the officials, she was using a fake ID.

SURE!!!

mossadISISmeme

ISIS-leader-Al-Baghdadi-Mccain

2014 Is Now The Worst Year For US Macro Data Performance Since 2008 (ZeroHedge):

Once again the cyclical patterns in US macro data are re-emerging as extrapolated hopes fade into mean-reverting credit-impulse-hangover-driven realities. Despite all the hopes and dreams of escape velocity, cleanest-dirty-shirt-wearing economic enthusiasts, year-to-date performance of Citi’s US Macro Surprise index is at its lowest level since 2008. Whether this is absolute weakness or relative weakness (versus yet more over-enthusiastic expectations) is unclear though, the Midterm election results and NFR Black Friday spending data may be a hint.

Putin Kills “South Stream” Pipeline, Will Build New Massive Pipeline To Turkey Instead (ZeroHedge):

Earlier today, in a stunning announcement, Putin revealed that the South Stream project is now finished. As the WSJ reports, “Putin said Moscow will stop pursuing Gazprom’s South Stream pipeline project that would supply natural gas to Europe with an underwater link to Bulgaria, blaming the European Union for scuttling the project.” Putin is right: Europe – Austria excluded – had seen rising resistance to the South Stream in recent months. The EU is concerned that the project would cement Russia’s position as Europe’s dominant supplier of natural gas. Russia already meets around 30% of Europe’s annual needs. So what does Putin do? He signs a strategic alliance with NATO member Turkey, the only country in Europe that is anything but European and which lately has been increasingly anti-Western, to build a new mega-pipeline to Turkey instead. And the exclamation point:

TURKEY, RUSSIA AGREE TO USE LOCAL CURRENCIES IN TRADE: TRT

Or, as Obama would put it, Russia just got even more “isolated.”

Haunting Drone Footage of Chernobyl Town (Smithonian):

“Postcards from Pripyat, Chernobyl” shows a drone’s-eye view of the city nearly three decades after nuclear disaster

The World’s Largest Stock Market Index Is Flashing Red (ZeroHedge):

With a market capitalization of around $16 trillion, the NYSE Composite Index is a massively broad equity indicator less affected by the day to day gyrations of AAPL, TSLA, BABA, or NFLX. As NewEdge’s Brad Wishak remarks, the world’s largest market cap equity index is painting a very different picture than that of the Dow or S&P 500

WTF: Canada family keeps father’s corpse for 6 months, praying for resurrection (RT):

A small community of Christians in Canada left the body of a deceased member for six months trusting God to resurrect him from the dead. The Crown found no criminal intent and the grieving widow was ordered to seek public health counseling.

Escape From Detroit

Images From A Dark Detroit: “Major Cable Failure” Sparks Widespread Power Outage (ZeroHedge):

Just 15 months after Detroit’s Black Out 2013 debacle, spokespeople for the city and DTE Energy confirmed at around 11:00 a.m. local time on Tuesday that most of Detroit’s municipal grid is offline:

*DETROIT CITES ‘MAJOR CABLE FAILURE’ FOR POWER OUTAGE
*DETROIT: OUTAGE IS AFFECTING ALL CUSTOMERS ON THE PLD GRID

The outage is preventing power from being delivered to police stations, schools, traffic lights and other city-run facilities and services.

muppets-kermit-dead

It’s Muppet-Slaughtering Time – Goldman Unveils 2015 Global Equity Themes (ZeroHedge):

Goldman Sachs’ 2015 global equity views and themes note is out and its title “The Long Grind Higher Continues” says it all… it’s muppet slaughtering time…

Mexicans march against president as fresh graves discovered (PHOTO, VIDEO) (RT)

Ex EU President Van Rompuy “Hit The Jackpot”, Paid Almost $1Million “For Doing Nothing”  (ZeroHedge):

It’s good to be king (or Europe). Former European Council President Herman van Rompuy, derided for “damp rag” ineptness by UKIP’s Nigel Farage, will receive around $900,000 over the next 3 years as a “transition allowance” for doing absolutely nothing in retirement. What is even more egregious, as The Telegraph reports, Van Rompuy will pay a reduced “EU Community” tax rate, considerably lower than the Belgian income tax rate on his ill-gotten gains. As Farage exclaims, having driven millions of Europeans into poverty and unemployment during his reign, Van Rompuy “hit the jackpot.”

?9yo Australian girl forced into MidEast wedding – report (RT)

Almost 9000 Daily record cold temps in November alone (Ice Age Now):

8977 Record Cold temps in November vs 2022 Record Warm Temps

Intense cold continues across central U.S. (Ice Age Now):

Temperatures as much as 25 degrees or more below normal will be common across much of the central U.S. on Monday, from Texas to the Canadian border.

Michigan ski area opens with record snow (Ice Age Now):

WAKEFIELD — Indianhead Mountain opened to skiing on Friday after record snowfall has fallen this year.

Significant winter storm unfolding in eastern Europe (Ice Age Now):

Romania to be hardest hit


Parts of southern and eastern Romania will face severe disruptions to travel and daily routines, while bordering areas of Bulgaria, Moldova and Ukraine will have some impacts from a significant winter storm, says meteorologist Eric Leister.

The cities of Craiova, Bucharest and Bacau are in the area that will be hardest hit.

Eastern Turkey – Heavy snowfall reduces visibility to 16 feet (5 m) (Ice Age Now):

1 Dec 2014  – Due to heavy snowfall, the city of Bitlis soon took on white blanket.

In particular, blizzard conditions in the locality Rahvan between Bitlis and Tatvan reduced visibility to 5 meters, catching many unprepared many vehicles on the road.

The Fed’s Biggest Nightmare: Consumers Are “Losing Faith” Their Cost Of Living Won’t Keep Rising (ZeroHedge):

Filed under “insane paragraph of the year,” Reuters pens one of the most-telling sentences of the year/decade/century, suggesting – as per the existential threat to the Fed’s meme – that consumers are worried that their cost of living won’t go up more?

20141201_Fed

via Reuters

Translation: Please dont lose faith that your cost of living will stop soaring: the Fed’s very existence depends on it.

Obama appoints Ashton Carter as Pentagon chief (RT):

President Barack Obama is expected to announce Ashton B. Carter as his nominee to be the next secretary of defense, the Associated Press reports. Carter served as the Pentagon’s second-in-command from October 2011 to December 2013.

And The Biggest Winner From The Oil Price Plunge Is …

And The Biggest Winner From The Oil Price Plunge Is… (ZeroHedge, Nov 15, 2014):

“The Chinese, among others, seem to be responding to the lower oil price with additional demand,” notes one tanker executive as Bloomberg reports the number of supertankers sailing toward China’s ports matched a record on Oct. 17 and is still close to that level now. The plunge in price has enabled China to add 35 million barrels to its inventories in the past three months as the nation fills its strategic petroleum reserves, OPEC said yesterday. Furthermore, though the oil slide is hurting nations from Venezuela to Iran – that depend on energy for revenues – ship owners serving the industry’s benchmark Middle East-to-Asia trade routes are reaping the best returns from charters in years as the slump drives down the industry’s single biggest expense. As one analyst notes, “we’ve seen the Chinese buying a lot from the Middle East and that’s really let rates cook.” So it appears the Chinese, in the face of the worst growth and economy in years, are rational enough to buy more at lower prices (as opposed to the buy-more-because-stocks-are-at-all-time-highs Western investors).

A near-record 113 tankers are destined for China…

china-oil

As Bloomberg reports,

Read moreAnd The Biggest Winner From The Oil Price Plunge Is …

Russia Is Preparing For A “Catastrophic” Oil Price Collapse

– Russia Is Preparing For A “Catastrophic” Oil Price Collapse (ZeroHedge, Nov 14,  2014):

Vladimir Putin told the state-run TASS news agency that Russia’s economy faces a potential “catastrophic” slump in oil prices, saying, as Bloomberg reports, such a scenario is “entirely possible, and we admit it.” However, Putin reassures that with reserves at more than $400 billion, the country will weather such a turn of events because “we handle our gold and currency reserves and government reserves sparingly.”

WTI Crude Slides Below $81 … But wait – there is a “broken” market – June 2015 Long Bond Futures… fat-fingered, short squeeze, or hedge at any costs?

WTI Crude Slides Below $81 (ZeroHedge, Oct 22, 2014):

It appears some of the ‘fundamental’ legs of the face-ripping ramp in stocks are fading. Broken Markets – nope; Fed Speakers – nope (blackout period); Crude rising – nope (WTI back under $81)

20141022_crude

Why it matters…

Read moreWTI Crude Slides Below $81 … But wait – there is a “broken” market – June 2015 Long Bond Futures… fat-fingered, short squeeze, or hedge at any costs?

Why Oil Is Plunging: The Other Part Of The “Secret Deal” Between The US And Saudi Arabia

Why Oil Is Plunging: The Other Part Of The “Secret Deal” Between The US And Saudi Arabia (ZeroHedge, Oct 11, 2014):

Two weeks ago, we revealed one part of the “Secret Deal” between the US and Saudi Arabia: namely what the US ‘brought to the table’ as part of its grand alliance strategy in the middle east, which proudly revealed Saudi Arabia to be “aligned” with the US against ISIS, when in reality John Kerry was merely doing Saudi Arabia’s will when the WSJ reported that “the process gave the Saudis leverage to extract a fresh U.S. commitment to beef up training for rebels fighting Mr. Assad, whose demise the Saudis still see as a top priority.”

kerry kasbah_1

What was not clear is what was the other part: what did the Saudis bring to the table, or said otherwise, how exactly it was that Saudi Arabia would compensate the US for bombing the Assad infrastructure until the hated Syrian leader was toppled, creating a power vacuum in his wake that would allow Syria, Qatar, Jordan and/or Turkey to divide the spoils of war as they saw fit.

Read moreWhy Oil Is Plunging: The Other Part Of The “Secret Deal” Between The US And Saudi Arabia

Oil Price Plunge? It’s The Global Economy, Stupid!

Oil Price Plunge? It’s The Global Economy, Stupid! (ZeroHedge, Sep 12, 2014):

The decline in the price of oil – in the face of surging geopolitical pandemonium – has been lauded as indicative of both US’ awesomeness in energy independence and a tax cut for Americans… but, as the following chart suggests, there may be another – much more realistic – explanation for why oil is plunging… demand!

World GDP expectations for 2014 just tumbled to their lowest since estimates started…

20140912_oil

Maybe – just maybe – that explains the price of oil…

Charts: Bloomberg

Chris Martenson: The People Will Get Wiped Out In Coming Crash (Video)


Added: Jun 29, 2014

Description:

Chris Martenson, who holds a PhD in pathology and an MBA, contends 2008 was just a warm up to a much bigger calamity. Martenson says, “2008 was the shot across the bow, and that’s when our credit experiment broke, and we have been doing everything possible to paper over it since. . . . When you take real stuff out of the ground, you grow food, you take oil out of the ground, you process ore into steel, and you manufacture real things–that’s real wealth. The claims (such as stocks, bonds and currencies) have to be in proportion to the real wealth, and the claims have been growing and growing and growing for so long that they are way out of balance to the real stuff, and the real stuff isn’t growing like it used to. You can see that in the GDP numbers for the U.S. or the world at large. Growth is slowing, slowing, slowing, and the claims are getting larger and larger. This represents a huge and gigantic source of potential energy. There is a gap there and it’s going to get closed. Only one of two things are going to happen: (1) real stuff starts expanding like crazy, or (2) the claims get destroyed. That’s what we are talking about when we talk about a market crash. The claims get destroyed. People get wiped out. The people who don’t get ruined are people safely over in the real wealth already. If you own an unencumbered farm, if you own a productive asset, if you own gold or silver, or if you own your house outright, you are going to be vastly safer than . . . someone who is leveraged and hinged into this other system.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Chris Martenson co-founder of PeakProsperity.com.

Energy Prices: Manipulated – LIBOR: Manipulated – FX: Manipulated – Now Brent Crude: Manipulated – But Suggest Gold Is And You’re Branded A Whacko!

China Sides With Russia In Opposing Military Strikes On Syria

China sides with Russia in opposing military strikes on Syria (RT, Sep 5, 2013):

China joined Russia in its opposition against military strikes on Syria ahead of the G20 summit on Thursday. Beijing said the use of force would cause a swing in oil prices, thereby hurting the global economy.

“Military action would have a negative impact on the global economy, especially on the oil price – it will cause a hike in the oil price,” China’s vice finance minister, Zhu Guangyao, said at a pre-G20 briefing in St. Petersburg.

The remark was echoed by other members of the BRICS bloc, Reuters reported. Aside from China, the bloc consists of emerging economies including Brazil, Russia, India, and South Africa.

Read moreChina Sides With Russia In Opposing Military Strikes On Syria

Giving Thanks That It Has Not Come To This: The Day The World Ended – WW3 Simulation (Video)

Giving Thanks That It Has Not Come To This (ZeroHedge, Nov 22, 2012):

On occasions such as the increasingly binary-outcome world in which we exist today, it is perhaps more important to give thanks not for what has happened, but for what has not, such as this fictional and dramatic potential outcome.

For your Thanksgiving entertainment pleasure:


YouTube

Iran Threatens To Halt Crude Exports If Sanctions Intensify (Bloomberg)

Iran Threatens to Halt Crude Exports If Sanctions Intensify (Bloomberg, Oct 23, 2012):

Iran will suspend all oil exports, pushing global crude prices higher, if the U.S. and Europe tighten sanctions further on the OPEC member’s economy, Oil Minister Rostam Qasemi warned.

“If you continue to add to the sanctions, we will stop our oil exports to the world,” he said at a news conference in Dubai. “The lack of Iranian oil in the market would drastically add to the price.”

Read moreIran Threatens To Halt Crude Exports If Sanctions Intensify (Bloomberg)

Bank Of America Sees Fed Assets Surpassing $5 Trillion By End Of 2014 … Leading To $3350 Gold And $190 Crude

And for some (idiots) this is not enough …

Paul Krugman: QE3 Should Have Been ‘More Stronger’ (Quote Of The Day)

… versus those who can clearly see what is coming:

Marc Faber: ‘Fed Will Destroy The World’ (Video)

Ron Paul On QE3: ‘Country Should Panic Over Fed’s Decision’ – ‘We Are Creating Money Out Of Thin Air’ – ‘We’ve Lost Control!’ (Video)

From the article:

“Even when unwinding its balance sheet would mean sacrificing 30% of US GDP and, let’s be honest about it, civil war.”


BofA Sees Fed Assets Surpassing $5 Trillion By End Of 2014… Leading To $3350 Gold And $190 Crude (ZeroHedge, Sep 14, 2012):

Yesterday, when we first presented our calculation of what the Fed’s balance sheet would look like through the end of 2013, some were confused why we assumed that the Fed would continue monetizing the long-end beyond the end of 2012. Simple: in its statement, the FOMC said that “If the outlook for the labor market does not improve substantially, the Committee will continue its purchases of agency mortgage backed securities, undertake additional asset purchases, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate until such improvement is achieved in a context of price stability.” Therefore, the only question is by what point the labor market would have improved sufficiently to satisfy the Fed with its “improvement” (all else equal, which however – and here’s looking at you inflation – will not be). Conservatively, we assumed that it would take at the lest until December 2014 for unemployment to cross the Fed’s “all clear threshold.” As it turns out we were optimistic. Bank of America’s Priya Misra has just released an analysis which is identical to ours in all other respects, except for when the latest QE version would end. BofA’s take: “We do not believe there will be “substantial” improvement in the labor market for the next 1.5-2 years and foresee the Fed buying Treasuries after the end of Operation Twist.” What does this mean for total Fed purchases? Again, simple. Add $1 trillion to the Zero Hedge total of $4TRN. In other words, Bank of America just predicted at least 2 years and change of constant monetization, which would send the Fed’s balance sheet to grand total of just over $5,000,000,000,000 as the Fed adds another $2.2 trillion MBS and Treasury notional to the current total of $2.8 trillion.

In other words, for once we actually were shockingly optimistic on the US economy. Assuming BofA is correct, and it probably is, this is how the Fed’s balance sheet will look like for the next 2 years:

Or, in terms of US GDP, the Fed’s balance sheet will have “LBOed” just shy of 30% of all US goods and services.

It gets worse:

Read moreBank Of America Sees Fed Assets Surpassing $5 Trillion By End Of 2014 … Leading To $3350 Gold And $190 Crude

What Does A $4 Trillion Fed Balance Sheet Mean For Gold And Oil

What Does A $4 Trillion Fed Balance Sheet Mean For Gold And Oil (ZeroHedge, Sep 13, 2012):

Earlier we explained why Bernanke’s actions today mean that the Fed Balance Sheet will likely grow to over $4 trillion by the end of 2013. Critically this flood of liquidity will raise the nominal price of every asset (from whimsical pieces of stockholder paper to barbarous relics and black gold). Some of these assets, like stock prices and high-yield credit spreads do have point-in-time ‘value limits’ to their price – though at times it seems a dream that fundamentals would ever matter again; but some have less of a binding constraint – such as gold. Should the Fed proceed, as seems likely, and do its worst/best to blow its balance sheet wad then we estimate Gold will be priced at least $2250 per ounce by the end of 2013(of course higher if the Fed sees no evidence of recovery). Meanwhile, deeper underground, the world’s mainstay source of energy, WTI Crude oil, could jump to record highs over $150 per barrel(which just happens to coincide with the ‘pegged’ value of oil in gold). It will be interesting indeed to see how the world’s socio-economic infrastructure hangs together should that occur – can’t happen? Different this time? Indeed it is now that Ben hit the big red ‘panic’ button.Gold vs Fed and ECB balance sheets… notably for QE2, gold priced in all the Fed balance sheet expansion within around half the period (around six months from Jackson Hole) and then overshot – this would infer we see Gold $2250 around the end of the first quarter next year – and expect some overshoot…

Oil vs Fed balance sheet… (which fits nicely into the 0.07 oz of Gold per barrel ‘peg’ that seems to have been ‘agreed’ with the world’s oil producers).

Charts: Bloomberg

What To Do When Every Market Is Manipulated

What To Do When Every Market Is Manipulated (ZeroHedge, Aug 16, 2012):

Hint: cut the strings

If you don’t know who the sucker at the card table is, it’s you.

~ old gambler’s saying

What do the following have in common?

LIBOR, Bernie Madoff, MF Global, Peregrine Financial, zero-percent interest rates, the Social Security and Medicare entitlement funds, many state and municipal pension funds, mark-to-model asset values, quote stuffing and high frequency trading (HFT), and debt-based money?

The answer is that every single thing in that list is an example of market rigging, fraud, or both.

Read moreWhat To Do When Every Market Is Manipulated

Gold, Silver, Corn, And Brent Are Best Performers On The 5-Year Anniversary Of The Great Financial Crisis


World’s biggest gold coin

Gold, Silver, Corn, And Brent Are Best Performers On The 5-Year Anniversary Of The Great Financial Crisis (ZeroHedge, Aug 9, 2012):

Five years ago today BNP Paribas stopped withdrawals from three of their investment funds – because they couldn’t value their holdings following the subprime fallout – and arguably marked the start of the Great Financial Crisis as money markets seized up and the ECB did its first emergency liquidity pump. In the five years hence, as Deutsche’s Jim Reid notes, its been a pretty good run for commodities and most fixed income assets. Given all that’s gone on over this period it’s fair to say that returns have been pretty good if you’ve been in the right areas. The authorities have played a big part in ensuring the period wasn’t a disaster even if there have been frightening periods and very poor returns in some areas. Given that there are still numerous unresolved issues, the authorities need to continue to be on full alert for the next 5 years to ensure that when we do the 10 year anniversary there haven’t been set-backs in many of these assets.

Source: Deutsche Bank

Oil And Gold Seasonals Suggest … BTFD!

FYI.


Oil And Gold Seasonals Suggest BTFD (ZeroHedge, July 23, 2012):

The long-term seasonal data for gold and oil has not just remained relatively highly correlated over time but, as Barclays points out today, has very clear periods of bearishness, consolidation, and bullishness. While Gold may have another month of treading water, the period from September to mid-October is empirically bullish while Brent’s August to mid-October period is the most bullish segment of the year. Given gold’s stability in the past month or so since the EU Summit, and oil’s surge (and modest pull-back very recently), seasonals certainly provide some technical support for BTFD here in these QE-sensitive, real assets.

Brent Crude’s two major bullish seasonals…

and Gold’s three periods of bullish seasonality…

Source: Barclays

Keiser Report: Cotton Candy Fraud (Video)


YouTube Added: Jul 17, 2012

Description:

In this episode, Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, discuss how market participants are never more than a few milliseconds away from the next act of fraud and how a teaspoon of collateral leads to economic martial law. They also discuss German economists proposing that the wealthy be forced to buy bonds while in Spain the government and EU force bank losses on cooks and pensioners. In the second half of the show, oil analyst, Chris Cook, about how, despite sanctions, oil will always find a home; the Enron technique of pre-pay now being used by Enron’s former counterparties; and how stability is the death for the oil market middlemen.

Iran Lawmakers Prepare To Close The Strait Of Hormuz

Iran lawmakers prepare to close Hormuz Strait (RT, July 2, 2012):

Iranian lawmakers have drafted a bill that would close the Strait of Hormuz for oil tankers heading to countries supporting current economic sanctions against the Islamic Republic.

­“There is a bill prepared in the National Security and Foreign Policy committee of Parliament that stresses the blocking of oil tanker traffic carrying oil to countries that have sanctioned Iran,” Iranian MP Ibrahim Agha-Mohammadi told reporters.

“This bill has been developed as an answer to the European Union’s oil sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

Agha-Mohammadi said that 100 of Tehran’s 290 members of parliament had signed the bill as of Sunday.

Read moreIran Lawmakers Prepare To Close The Strait Of Hormuz

According To Reuters, Soaring Energy Prices Are Now A Good Thing

According To Reuters, Soaring Energy Prices Are A Good Thing (ZeroHedge, Mar 4, 2012)

When it comes to reporting the news, Reuters ability to get the scoop first may only be rivaled by its ability to “spin” analysis in a way that will make a normal thinking person’s head spin.  Such as the following piece of unrivaled headscrathing titled “The good news behind oil prices” whose conclusion, as some may have already guessed, is that “the surge in crude oil is looking more like a harbinger of better days.” Let’s go through the arguments.

From Reuters: The good news behind oil prices

  1. the Iran-driven spike masks a broader underlying trend, and as long as military strikes are avoided, it appears to pose only a limited risk. In other words, there is a good news story.”

Translation – Logic aside (namely that there is absolutely no connection between the precedent and antecedent sentences, but we’ll let that slide) the fact that at least $140 billion has been removed from consumers’ pockets YTD on an annualized basis (0.9% of GDP per $10 oil price increase), and has offset all the benefits from the payroll tax extension and then some, is not only irrelevant, but is apparently good news. Ignore that retail sales are abysmal for 3 months running, consumer spending has plunged and has already cost the US economy 0.3% in Q1 GDP, and all this happened even before the oil price surge, not to mention and European inflation is already above expectations on record Brent in Euros. All that matters is consumer confidence which is based on media “arguments” such as the one being deconstructed.

Read moreAccording To Reuters, Soaring Energy Prices Are Now A Good Thing