IntelCenter’s Country Threat Index (CTI) examines the volume of terrorist and rebel alerts, messaging traffic, videos, photos, incidents and the number killed and injured in a country over the past 30 days and runs it through an algorithm to assign the country its CTI. The higher the CTI the greater the risk.
The top 10 most dangerous countries in the world are shown below with their CTI rankings and score.
| Rank | Country | CTI Score | |||||||||
| 1 | Syria | 1,451 87% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 2 | Iraq | 1,347 99% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 3 | Afghanistan | 541 99% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 4 | Somalia | 216 99% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 5 | Egypt | 90 99% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 6 | Yemen | 88 92% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 7 | Pakistan | 87 98% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 8 | United Kingdom | 73 5% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 9 | Nigeria | 68 49% MUSLIM | |||||||||
| 10 | Philippines | 52 6% MUSLIM |
INTEL Center A low CTI does not necessarily reflect the absence of risk as the US in the lead-up to 9-11 would have had a low CTI. It does, however, reflect a lower level of activity over the preceding 30 days which means high-volume activity is unlikely but one-off events are always a possibility.
The CTI should never be the sole measure of risk in a country but rather one factor to take into consideration. The CTI is based solely on terrorist and rebel related activity. It does not evaluate other risk factors such as crime and political instability. The Global CTI is arrived at by adding up each individual country’s CTI. It serves as an overall indicator of global terrorist and rebel activity.
H/t reader kevin a.
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