– Surprise! Baltic Dry Index Plunges Most Since November As Commodity Bubble Bursts:
Who could have seen this coming? Remember a week ago when TV entertainers crowed about the surge in The Baltic Dry Freight Index was a “clear signal” that ‘China is back’ baby and that escape velocity growth was just around the corner as global growth was destined to pick up…
Well, just as we warned very explicitly, the ramp in the index merely reflected the frenzied speculation in industrial metals by the Chinese and as authorities have cracked down on that idiocy, so the Baltic Dry has plunged by the most since November… as real demand punches back.
This was never going to end well.
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Still trying to establish why the BDI has nearly doubled since dismal February.
Logic points to seasonal activity, but reality check emphasises the level is still in the doldrums, meaning the sudden increase is relatively innocuous.
https://www.bdiindex.com